Legislature(2021 - 2022)SENATE FINANCE 532

02/04/2021 09:00 AM Senate FINANCE

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09:01:19 AM Start
09:02:46 AM Confirmation Hearing - Commissioner of Revenue
09:29:16 AM Alaska Permanent Fund Corporation
10:53:55 AM Adjourn
* first hearing in first committee of referral
+ teleconferenced
= bill was previously heard/scheduled
+ Confirmation Hearing: TELECONFERENCED
- Commissioner of Revenue Lucinda Mahoney
+ Alaska Permanent Fund Corporation by TELECONFERENCED
Angela Rodell, Chief Executive Officer
                 SENATE FINANCE COMMITTEE                                                                                       
                     February 4, 2021                                                                                           
                         9:01 a.m.                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
9:01:19 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
CALL TO ORDER                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Bishop called the Senate Finance Committee meeting                                                                     
to order at 9:01 a.m.                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
MEMBERS PRESENT                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
Senator Click Bishop, Co-Chair                                                                                                  
Senator Bert Stedman, Co-Chair                                                                                                  
Senator Lyman Hoffman                                                                                                           
Senator Donny Olson (via teleconference)                                                                                        
Senator Natasha von Imhof                                                                                                       
Senator Bill Wielechowski                                                                                                       
Senator David Wilson                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
MEMBERS ABSENT                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
None                                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
ALSO PRESENT                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
Lucinda Mahoney, Commissioner of Revenue, Juneau; Angela                                                                        
Rodell,   Executive   Director,    Alaska   Permanent   Fund                                                                    
Corporation.                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
SUMMARY                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
CONFIRMATION HEARING - COMMISSIONER OF REVENUE                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
ALASKA PERMANENT FUND CORPORATION                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
^CONFIRMATION HEARING - COMMISSIONER OF REVENUE                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
9:02:46 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
LUCINDA MAHONEY, COMMISSIONER OF REVENUE, JUNEAU, provided                                                                      
the committee with her background and education.                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
9:11:44 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair   Stedman   asked   for   information   about   the                                                                    
testifier's  spouse, and  his  cooperation  in the  "Chinese                                                                    
wall" that  was created to  make it  clear that there  was a                                                                    
separation.                                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
Acting Commissioner Mahoney replied  that she was originally                                                                    
hesitant  to accept  the  role of  commissioner  due to  her                                                                    
husband's role as  an oil and gas attorney.  She stated that                                                                    
it   was  determined   that  an   ethics  screen   would  be                                                                    
established to  screen her  from any  decisions made  by the                                                                    
Department of  Revenue (DOR) related  to any case  where her                                                                    
husband was the attorney.                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
Senator  Wielechowski remarked  on the  issue regarding  the                                                                    
Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES) Act                                                                      
provision, which  allowed corporations to apply  for refunds                                                                    
on  the   net  operating   losses.  He  wondered   when  the                                                                    
department became aware  of that issue, and  asked about the                                                                    
expected costs to the state.                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Acting Commissioner  Mahoney responded  that as soon  as the                                                                    
provision  was  announced  by the  federal  government,  the                                                                    
department  began  analytics  to estimate  the  impact.  She                                                                    
recalled a presentation  to the committee in  2019 where Dan                                                                    
Stickel  [Chief  Economist,  Economic  Research  Group,  Tax                                                                    
Division, Department of Revenue].                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
9:14:54 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Senator Wielechowski  wondered whether any action  should be                                                                    
taken to for a correction.                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
Acting Commissioner  Mahoney replied  that it  was currently                                                                    
under  evaluation.  She  shared that  there  were  different                                                                    
options available  for assistance, and stressed  that it was                                                                    
more related  to timing.  She stated that  there would  be a                                                                    
potential  positive revenue  impact  in 2022,  but it  would                                                                    
then be reduced in future years.                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
Senator  Wielechowski remarked  that  it had  been almost  a                                                                    
year since  the initial presentation, and  wondered how much                                                                    
more time was needed for evaluation.                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
Acting  Commissioner Mahoney  replied that  there may  see a                                                                    
result from the evaluation offered in the coming weeks.                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair  Stedman  shared  that   his  staff  was  currently                                                                    
engaging with  DOR to  bring forward  a presentation  on the                                                                    
issue.                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Senator  Wielechowski   remarked  that   there  was   a  new                                                                    
producer, HilCorp,  which paid  no corporate income  tax. He                                                                    
queried an estimate of the cost  to the state, as opposed to                                                                    
BP.                                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
Acting  Commissioner  Mahoney  responded  that  the  current                                                                    
corporate tax estimate was $23  million that the state would                                                                    
not receive.                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Senator  Wielechowski wondered  whether  HilCorp should  pay                                                                    
the $23 million.                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
Acting  Commissioner Mahoney  replied  that there  may be  a                                                                    
future addressing of that issue.                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
Senator Wielechowski queried an estimate  of the cost to the                                                                    
state when  oil producers write off  their development costs                                                                    
on state land on their taxes.                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Acting   Commissioner  Mahoney   agreed   to  provide   that                                                                    
information. She  furthered that there  was a plan to  do an                                                                    
order of operations presentation on the production tax.                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
9:20:00 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Senator Wielechowski  wondered whether  the issue  should be                                                                    
corrected.  He  asserted  that  the  development  of  Alaska                                                                    
National  Wildlife  Refuge  (ANWR)   would  cost  the  state                                                                    
billions of dollars in revenue.                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
Acting Commissioner  Mahoney replied that DOR  would provide                                                                    
assistance, but  would not  come forward  with that  type of                                                                    
change.                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
Senator  von  Imhof remarked  that  there  was an  order  of                                                                    
operations.                                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
Senator Wielechowski wanted to  know the position on raising                                                                    
revenue, and queried a plan on additional revenue measures.                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
Acting  Commissioner  Mahoney   replied  that  the  revenues                                                                    
needed to  be addressed  using a  phased approach.  She felt                                                                    
that taxes should be supported by a vote of the people.                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
Senator Wielechowski remarked that  there was a recession, a                                                                    
deficit,  and a  forecast  of a  deficit  and recession.  He                                                                    
assumed that the plan was to  use the Permanent Fund for the                                                                    
state  costs, which  meant lower  Permanent Fund  Dividends.                                                                    
(PFD).                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Acting  Commissioner  Mahoney  replied that  the  governor's                                                                    
position  was  that  it  was  an anomaly  year  due  to  the                                                                    
pandemic. Therefore,  it was not  the time to raise  new tax                                                                    
revenues.                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
Senator Wielechowski wondered  whether the governor believed                                                                    
that taking part of the PFD was considered a "tax."                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
Acting Commissioner  Mahoney felt  that the  question should                                                                    
be directed toward the governor.                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair  Stedman  FORWARDED   the  appointment  of  Lucinda                                                                    
Mahoney   for  consideration   in  accordance   with  Alaska                                                                    
Statute. He relayed  that this did not reflect  an intent by                                                                    
any member  of the Senate  Finance Committee to vote  for or                                                                    
against  the  confirmation  of the  individuals  during  any                                                                    
further  sessions.  There  being  NO OBJECTION,  it  was  so                                                                    
ordered.                                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
9:26:14 AM                                                                                                                    
AT EASE                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
9:28:27 AM                                                                                                                    
RECONVENED                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
^ALASKA PERMANENT FUND CORPORATION                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
9:29:16 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
ANGELA  RODELL, EXECUTIVE  DIRECTOR,  ALASKA PERMANENT  FUND                                                                    
CORPORATION,  (APFC)  discussed "Senate  Finance  Committee,                                                                    
The  Alaska  Permanent  Fund, February  4,  2021"  (copy  on                                                                    
file). She looked at slide 2, "1969 The Debate Begins":                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
    Alaska receives $900 million in Prudhoe lease sale.                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
     FY 1970 state budget: $173 million.                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell highlighted slide 3, "The Alaska Constitution":                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
     In 1976, Alaskans voted, 75,588  to 38,518, in favor to                                                                    
     amend  the  Constitution of  the  State  of Alaska  and                                                                    
     created the Alaska Permanent Fund.                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
     Alaska Constitution Article IX, Section15                                                                                  
     Alaska Permanent Fund                                                                                                      
     At  least twenty-  five percent  of  all mineral  lease                                                                    
     rentals,  royalties,  royalty  sale  proceeds,  federal                                                                    
     mineral revenue  sharing payments and  bonuses received                                                                    
     by the state  shall be placed in a  permanent fund, the                                                                    
     principal  of  which  shall  be  used  only  for  those                                                                    
     income-producing  investments  specifically  designated                                                                    
     by law as eligible  for permanent fund investments. All                                                                    
     income from  the permanent fund  shall be  deposited in                                                                    
    the general fund unless otherwise provided by law.                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell addressed slide 4, "The Corporation":                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
     Four  years   after  the  Alaska  Permanent   Fund  was                                                                    
     approved  by  voters,   the  Alaska  State  Legislature                                                                    
     passed  SB   161  in  1980,  establishing   the  Alaska                                                                    
     Permanent Fund Corporation.                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
     APFC's Mission                                                                                                             
     To manage and  invest the assets of  the permanent fund                                                                    
     and other  funds designated by  law in  accordance with                                                                    
     AS 37.13.010-37.13.190.                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
     Alaska Permanent Fund                                                                                                      
     -Principal Constitution and AS 37.13.010                                                                                   
     -Earnings Reserve Account AS 37.13.145 (a)                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
     Amerada Hess Fund AS 37.13.145 (d)                                                                                         
     -AK Capital Income Fund AS 37.05.565                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
     Alaska Mental Health Trust Fund AS 37.13.300                                                                               
     -Alaska Mental Health Trust Authority                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell looked at slide 5, "Board of Trustees":                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
     A six-member,  governor-appointed Board of  Trustees is                                                                    
    entrusted with the fiduciary oversight of the Fund.                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
     As  the  fiduciaries,  the  Trustees  have  a  duty  to                                                                    
     Alaskans in assuring that the  Alaska Permanent Fund is                                                                    
     managed  and  invested  in  a  manner  consistent  with                                                                    
     legislative findings in AS 37.13.020.                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
     -The  Fund  should  provide a  means  of  conserving  a                                                                    
     portion of  the state's revenue from  mineral resources                                                                    
     to benefit all generations of Alaskans.                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
     -The  Fund's  goal  should be  to  maintain  safety  of                                                                    
     principal while maximizing total return.                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
     -The Fund  should be used  as a savings  device managed                                                                    
     to allow the maximum use  of disposable income from the                                                                    
     Fund for the purposes designated by law.                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
     A fiduciary  is a person  or organization that  acts on                                                                    
     behalf of  another person or persons  to manage assets.                                                                    
     Essentially, a fiduciary owes to  that other entity the                                                                    
     duties of good faith and  trust. The highest legal duty                                                                    
     of  one party  to another,  being a  fiduciary requires                                                                    
     being  bound  ethically  to act  in  the  other's  best                                                                    
     interests. -Investopedia                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell pointed to slide 6, "Investment Management":                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
     Constitutional and Statutory Mandates                                                                                      
     -Principal provides permanent savings                                                                                      
    -ERA holds the investment income for appropriation                                                                          
    -Prudent rules govern Saving, Spending, and Growth                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
     APFC Stewardship                                                                                                           
     -Quasi-independent                                                                                                         
     -Long-term horizon Prudent Diversification                                                                                 
     -Accountability                                                                                                            
     -Resources                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
     A robust,  healthy Permanent Fund  is important  to all                                                                    
     generations of Alaskans.                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell looked at slide 7, "Key Questions?":                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
     -How much do we make?                                                                                                      
     -How do we invest?                                                                                                         
     -How does Principal grow?                                                                                                  
     -How does the ERA grow?                                                                                                    
     -How much can we draw?                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
9:35:02 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell highlighted slide 9, "Monthly Reporting":                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
     -Accountability  and   transparency  have   driven  our                                                                    
     operations from  our very beginnings as  an independent                                                                    
     state corporation accountable to the public.                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
     -Financial   and  performance   reports  are   produced                                                                    
     monthly to  ensure point-in-time  accuracy of  data and                                                                    
     compliance with policies and laws.                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
     -APFC finance staff reconcile  values for the Principal                                                                    
     and ERA accounts  at the close of each  month. The Fund                                                                    
     has more than 700  investment accounts, each represents                                                                    
     anywhere  from one  private investment  to hundreds  of                                                                    
     public equity holdings.                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell  looked at  slide 10,  "Values in  Billions." She                                                                    
shared that  on December  31, 2020,  which was  the mid-year                                                                    
point of  fiscal year  2021, the  total principal  was $57.8                                                                    
billion.  She  explained  that it  was  comprised  of  $46.7                                                                    
billion  of  contributions.   The  contributions  came  from                                                                    
royalties, inflation  proofing, and  special appropriations.                                                                    
She  explained  that there  was  $11.1  billion included  as                                                                    
unrealized gain.                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
Senator Hoffman  looked at the  $3.1 billion, which  was the                                                                    
statutory  amount  in law.  He  wondered  why there  was  no                                                                    
reflection of the additional draw proposed by the governor.                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell replied  that proposals were not  included in the                                                                    
financial  statements. She  stated that  the display  showed                                                                    
liabilities  and responsibilities.  She  explained that  the                                                                    
auditors  included  the  amount,  because  the  statute  was                                                                    
written  to use  a  one-year gap.  Therefore,  there was  an                                                                    
exact amount  prediction using the statute.  She stated that                                                                    
the trustees did not want any ad hoc draws.                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
Ms.  Rodell  pointed to  slide  11,  "Sources of  Change  in                                                                    
Value." She  remarked that  the market  had been  helpful to                                                                    
the fund over the previous six months.                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Senator  von Imhof  wondered whether  $2.9 billion  had been                                                                    
moved to the ERA or the general fund.                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell replied that it was the ERA.                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
Senator von  Imhof wondered how  much had been moved  to the                                                                    
general fund of the normal POMV draw for the current year.                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell  replied that  $1.5 billion  had been  moved, and                                                                    
the next payment would be in March.                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
Senator von  Imhof surmised  that the  state taking  half of                                                                    
the POMV  draw was in  cadence with taking  equal increments                                                                    
throughout the year.                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell agreed.                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
9:45:17 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Senator  Wielechowski wondered  how much  was made  with the                                                                    
recent Gamestop issue.                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Ms.  Rodell  replied  that  Gamestop  experience  caused  an                                                                    
increase of about $30 million.                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
Senator  Wielechowski   wondered  whether   the  corporation                                                                    
invested  the POMV  assets in  cash, and  assumed that  they                                                                    
were invested at a much lower risk.                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell replied that it  was an incorrect assumption. She                                                                    
stated  that  all  assets  were  invested  together  in  one                                                                    
allocation. She  explained that every  asset was owned  at a                                                                    
pro rata basis by the principal and ERA.                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell looked at slide 12, "Financial Statements":                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
     APFC issues monthly financial statements for the Fund                                                                      
     that reconcile values for the total Fund, the                                                                              
     Principal, and ERA.                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
     Includes monthly values for -                                                                                              
          -Contributions to Principal                                                                                           
          -Known commitments from the ERA, and the net                                                                          
          realized earnings that remain unspent                                                                                 
          -Unrealized gains for both accounts                                                                                   
          -Statutory net income to the ERA                                                                                      
          -Asset valuations                                                                                                     
          -Revenues and expenditures                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell highlighted slide 13, "Performance":                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
     Monthly performance report includes 6 pages of                                                                             
          -Market Values                                                                                                        
          -Performance:                                                                                                         
               1mo, 3mo, FYTD, CYTD, 1Yr, 3Yrs, 5 Yrs                                                                           
               -Total Fund                                                                                                      
               -Benchmarks                                                                                                      
               -Asset Classes                                                                                                   
               -Holdings                                                                                                        
               -Index Comparisons                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
9:50:26 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell discussed slide 14, "Performance as of December                                                                      
31, 2020." She explained that FY 20 generated a 2.01                                                                            
percent return.                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Stedman asked whether the 2.01 percent was gross                                                                       
or net of fees.                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell replied that it was net of fees.                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell pointed to slide 16, "Fund Total Value and                                                                           
Returns in millions":                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
     1977 Initial  Legislation permitted an  investment list                                                                    
     that  included only  fixed  income  securities such  as                                                                    
     treasury bonds.                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
     1983  Following  changes  to the  statutory  investment                                                                    
     list, the Fund makes its  first investment in the stock                                                                    
     market,  and  later  that year,  indirectly  held  real                                                                    
     estate.                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
     1990  After  the   Legislature  expands  the  statutory                                                                    
     investment  list, the  Fund begins  to invest  in stock                                                                    
     and bond markets outside the United States.                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
     2005 The Legislature makes a  significant change in how                                                                    
     Permanent Fund investments  are determined, by removing                                                                    
     the allowed investment list from state law.                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
     The Trustees  will make investment decisions  under the                                                                    
     guidelines of the prudent investor rule.                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Bishop wondered whether there was an anticipation                                                                      
of another market correction.                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
Ms.  Rodell  replied  that,   fundamentally,  there  was  no                                                                    
anticipation  of  a  correction. She  explained  that  there                                                                    
would be an entering of a period of very slow growth.                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
9:55:50 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Senator Wilson  asked about  the regulatory  changes related                                                                    
to real estate investments.                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell replied  that the funding was  gaining in assets,                                                                    
so there  was more  comfort with investment  strategies. She                                                                    
also stated  that there was  a need  to seek out  returns in                                                                    
other ways that the traditional assets.                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
Senator von Imhof remarked that  there were significant cash                                                                    
reserves,  which   might  overheat  the  market   after  the                                                                    
pandemic.  She pointed  out that  the U.S.  was in  debt, so                                                                    
taxes might increase. She felt  that there may be a volatile                                                                    
and  steep counterforce,  which  could significantly  affect                                                                    
the fund.                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
10:00:05 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Senator  Wielechowski wondered  whether  the Permanent  Fund                                                                    
engaged in short sales.                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell replied that it did not.                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Stedman asked for a definition of short sale.                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell  replied that short  sales were when there  was a                                                                    
belief that  a stock was  overvalued, so there was  a belief                                                                    
that the stock would decline  in price. Therefore, the stock                                                                    
was borrowed  at the high  price in anticipation  of selling                                                                    
it at the lower price. She  explained that it would make the                                                                    
profit  on the  bet. She  felt that  maybe she  explained it                                                                    
incorrectly.  She stated  that  there was  an investment  in                                                                    
hedge funds, which were designed to be market neutral                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
Senator   Wielechowski  recalled   that  the   governor  had                                                                    
suggested that the state maybe  not invest in banks that did                                                                    
not invest  in Arctic  oil exploration. He  wondered whether                                                                    
the  Permanent  Fund invested  in  any  banks that  did  not                                                                    
invest in Arctic oil exploration.                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
Ms.  Rodell replied  that that  the Permanent  Fund and  the                                                                    
Permanent    Fund    Corporation   relied    on    worldwide                                                                    
partnerships,  which included  partnerships with  banks that                                                                    
had made statements  about not investing in  Arctic oil. She                                                                    
felt that it would be  difficult to conduct business without                                                                    
those banks.                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair  Bishop  wondered how  much  of  the portfolio  was                                                                    
moving into renewable energy.                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell agreed to provide that information.                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
Ms.  Rodell pointed  to slide  17,  "Asset Allocation."  She                                                                    
noted how  the asset allocation  had changed over  time. She                                                                    
pointed  that,  currently,  there   was  exposure  to  eight                                                                    
different asset  classes, including 2 percent  for cash. She                                                                    
pointed  out that  the  asset allocation  was  the Board  of                                                                    
Trustees statement on return and risk.                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Ms.  Rodell discussed  slide 18,  "Projections  FY 21."  She                                                                    
stated that the  slide showed a low- mid-  and - prediction.                                                                    
She  remarked  that a  long-term  ten-year  return was  also                                                                    
included in the projections.                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair  Stedman  remarked that  there  was  a statutory  5                                                                    
percent  draw rate  on the  POMV,  but noted  that the  real                                                                    
return on the  slide was 4.23 percent. He  wondered how that                                                                    
related to the 5 percent POMV.                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
Ms.  Rodell replied  that the  POMV was  5 percent,  but was                                                                    
over an average, therefore the  effective rate was different                                                                    
than the 5 percent.                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell looked at slide 19, "History and Projections":                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
     Issued   monthly   in    conjunction   with   financial                                                                    
     statements.                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
     Values based on historical actuals, current fiscal                                                                         
     year status, and projections for                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
          -Principal, ERA and Total Fund Balances                                                                               
          -Principal contributions: royalties, inflation                                                                        
          proofing, special appropriations                                                                                      
          -ERA statutory net income, dividend and POMV                                                                          
          withdrawals, transfers to Principal                                                                                   
          -AK Capital Income Fund Amerada Hess                                                                                  
          -Callan's 10-year capital markets forecast                                                                            
          -Forecasted Total and Real Returns                                                                                    
          -POMV Distribution Calculations                                                                                       
         -Statutory Dividend Transfer Calculation                                                                               
          -YTD Statutory Net Income Tracking                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
10:10:53 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Stedman wondered whether the target value for 2030                                                                     
was $80 billion.                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell replied in the affirmative.                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell looked at slide 20, "Callan's Long-Term Capital                                                                      
Market Projections." She noted that there were assumptions                                                                      
used on the slide used for the returns.                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Stedman felt that Callan should present to the                                                                         
committee to discuss the expectations looking forward in                                                                        
the upcoming years.                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell noted that there would be a real return of 4.2                                                                       
percent POMV for ten years.                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell addressed slide 22, "Principal":                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
     -Constitutionally established as the permanent part of                                                                     
     the Fund                                                                                                                   
     -Grows through                                                                                                             
          -royalty contributions                                                                                                
          -special appropriations                                                                                               
          -inflation proofing                                                                                                   
     -Is to be used only for                                                                                                    
          -income-producing investments                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell pointed to slide 23, "Principal Contributions":                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
     $17.7 Billion Royalty Deposits -AS 37.13.010 (a) (1)                                                                       
     and (a) (2)                                                                                                                
     The constitutionally minimum required 25 percent of                                                                        
     royalty proceeds, and the statutorily mandated                                                                             
     deposits of 50 percent for leases after 1979.                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
    $18.0 Billion Inflation Proofing -AS 37.13.145 (c)                                                                          
     The inflation proofing calculation is based on                                                                             
     deposits into the Principal of the Fund and the                                                                            
     inflation rate as calculated per statute.                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
     $11.0 Billion Special  Appropriations  AS 37.13.010 (a)                                                                    
     (3)                                                                                                                        
     Legislative Deposits from both  the General Fund $2.7 B                                                                    
     and the ERA $8.3 B.                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
10:15:01 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair  Stedman  wondered  whether  the  funds  that  were                                                                    
allocated  by the  committee,  representative  on a  display                                                                    
check in the committee room, were utilized into fruition.                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell replied in the affirmative.                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Stedman wondered whether  the amount was "locked up                                                                    
on the corpus."                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell replied in the affirmative.                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Stedman  may have another discussion  about issuing                                                                    
more  funds  depending  on  the   budget  and  will  of  the                                                                    
committee.                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Bishop  will help keep  the oil well  pumping after                                                                    
the oil well is gone.                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
Ms.  Rodell stated  that it  was almost  45 years  since the                                                                    
creation of the Permanent Fund.                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
Ms.  Rodell looked  at slide  25, "Earnings  Reserve Account                                                                    
(ERA)":                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
     -Statutorily established  under AS  37.13.145 (a)  as a                                                                    
     separate  account in  the Fund  to hold  the investment                                                                    
     income                                                                                                                     
     -Is to  be invested in investments  authorized under AS                                                                    
     37.13.120                                                                                                                  
     -Grows through receipt of statutory net income                                                                             
     -Is available for Legislative appropriation                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell pointed to slide 26, "Renewable Resource":                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
     Historically, the  Alaska Permanent Fund has  been used                                                                    
     as  a  savings  device  to generate  revenues  and  pay                                                                    
     dividends to eligible Alaskans.                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
     Today, the Fund is used to support the State's General                                                                     
     Fund through the POMV Draw for statewide services and                                                                      
     programs, including the dividend.                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell addressed slide 27, "ERA: Statutory Net Income":                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
     AS 37.13.140 (a) directs the net investment earnings                                                                       
     of the Fund to the ERA and excludes unrealized gains                                                                       
     and losses.                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
     Statutory Net Income is the direct result of                                                                               
     investment activity, and includes:                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
          -Monthly cash inflows from stock dividends, bond                                                                      
          interest, and real estate                                                                                             
          -Realized Capital Gains/Losses: All the net                                                                           
          income (i.e., realized gains minus realized                                                                           
          losses) generated by the sale of investments.                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
     FY21 as of December 31, 2020                                                                                               
          -Statutory Net Income = $2,880,800,000                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
10:20:54 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell  looked at slide 29,  "Earnings Reserve Account."                                                                    
She explained that  the slide detailed the  current image of                                                                    
the ERA.                                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Bishop queried the reason for the downgrade.                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell  replied that the  numbers were from the  DOR oil                                                                    
production forecast.                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
Senator Wielechowski  surmised that the  legislature forward                                                                    
funded inflation proofing for several years.                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell replied  that the $4 billion  had intent language                                                                    
for eight  years of inflation proofing.  She explained that,                                                                    
due to the veto action, the  amount was closer to four years                                                                    
of inflation proofing.                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Stedman  announced that  the intent language  was a                                                                    
part of the  marketing of the large transfer.  He felt that,                                                                    
in retrospect, it was possibly not necessary.                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell remarked that only  earning four to five percent,                                                                    
with an  eight percent  draw would  cause larger  draws more                                                                    
quickly.                                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell pointed  to slide 30, "Percent of  Market Value -                                                                    
AS 37.13.140 (b)":                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
    -Based on market value, rather than realized income                                                                         
     -Subject to annual appropriation                                                                                           
     -Predictable                                                                                                               
          -average market value of the Fund for the first                                                                       
          five of the preceding six fiscal years                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
10:31:40 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Senator von Imhof  stressed that FY 23 and FY  24 showed the                                                                    
POMV growing at  $3.21 billion and $3.29  billion, but there                                                                    
was  an assumption  that there  was no  9 percent  draw. She                                                                    
remarked that the POMV would decrease with high draws.                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell agreed.                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
Senator  von  Imhof felt  that  the  slide showed  that  the                                                                    
deficit would widen without revenue.                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair   Stedman   furthered   that  there   was   not   a                                                                    
consideration  of the  management  impact  on the  Permanent                                                                    
Fund and its total numbers.                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Bishop  noted the effective  rate on the  out years                                                                    
with  the  proposed  draw,  and   assumed  that  rate  would                                                                    
increase over time.                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Stedman asked for a modeling of that impact.                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
Senator  von Imhof  felt that  Legislative Finance  Division                                                                    
could do that model.                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
10:35:28 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell replied that there  was work with the Legislative                                                                    
Finance Division to review the modeling assumptions.                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell addressed slide 31, "Trustees' Resolution 18-4":                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
     In providing  guidance on withdrawals for  the Fund and                                                                    
     to help  ensure the  long-term sustainability  of using                                                                    
     Fund  earnings for  the benefit  of all  generations of                                                                    
     Alaskans,  the  Board  passed  Resolution  18-04  at  a                                                                    
     special meeting on October 17, 2018.                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
          -This   resolution  affirms   the  importance   of                                                                    
          formulaic management of transfers  into and out of                                                                    
          the  ERA to  ensure  sustainability and  long-term                                                                    
          growth  of  the  Fund,  by  identifying  four  key                                                                    
          principles:  Adherence  Sustainability   Inflation                                                                    
          Proofing Real Growth                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
     Sustainability ? requires  annual formulaic withdrawals                                                                    
     from  the Earnings  Reserve Account  at an  amount that                                                                    
     the long-term balance  of the account is  able to fund.                                                                    
     The  Board has  long  supported the  percent of  market                                                                    
     value  (POMV)   concept,  including   a  constitutional                                                                    
     amendment that would ensure no  more than a sustainable                                                                    
     amount  was  taken  from the  annual  earnings  of  the                                                                    
     Permanent Fund (Resolutions 00-13, 03-05 and 04-09).                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
Ms.  Rodell pointed  to  slide 32,  "Primary  Source of  UGF                                                                    
Revenue-POMV."                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell  looked at  slide 33,  "ERA Monthly  Values since                                                                    
POMV."                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell discussed slide 34, "20 Year Look back."                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
10:40:44 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell addressed slide 35, "Use of Fund Earnings."                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Senator  Wielechowski wondered  whether  the Permanent  Fund                                                                    
was investing more in Alaska.                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Ms.  Rodell replied  that the  Board of  Trustees set  aside                                                                    
$200 million in  the private equity asset  allocation for an                                                                    
"Invest in Alaska Program", which  was different than any of                                                                    
the  other types  of money  that  might be  rolled into  the                                                                    
state.  She   remarked  that  there  was   a  deployment  of                                                                    
approximately $50 million.                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Stedman  wondered whether the reports  included the                                                                    
Alaska investment comparisons.                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell replied in the affirmative.                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Senator von Imhof queried the length of the deployment.                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell replied that it could range as high as five                                                                          
years.                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Senator von Imhof wondered why the deployment was slow.                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell replied that it was slower as a result of the                                                                        
due diligence required for the pipeline.                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
10:45:56 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell pointed to slide 37, "Evolving Role of the                                                                           
Fund":                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
     Successful  SWFs operate  within  a rules-based  system                                                                    
     that allows  them to perform  a combination  of saving,                                                                    
     stabilization, and income-generation functions.                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
     In Alaska,  the latter  function has come  into sharper                                                                    
     focus, as the Fund income  supports the State budget in                                                                    
     an era of lower oil revenues.                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
     This  paper  proposes a  number  of  reforms that  will                                                                    
     strengthen   the   stability  and   sustainability   of                                                                    
     Alaska's Permanent Fund:                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
     LESSON 1: MISSION CLARITY                                                                                                  
     LESSON 2: THE IMPORTANCE OF RULES                                                                                          
     LESSON 3: SUCCESSFUL ENFORCEMENT OF SAVING RULES                                                                           
     LESSON 4: DESIGNING A POMV SPENDING RULE                                                                                   
     LESSON 5: REFORMING THE ERA                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Stedman stressed that there was a concern about                                                                        
the temptation to use the ERA for appropriation.                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell remarked that the ERA was fully invested in all                                                                      
the asset classes, so as it was drawn down, its portion of                                                                      
unrealized gains would also down.                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell discussed slide 38, "Revenue Generation":                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
     Now,  more  than  ever, the  State  is  dependent  upon                                                                    
     APFC's  effective  management  and  investment  of  the                                                                    
     Alaska Permanent Fund, one of Alaska's primary sources                                                                     
     of renewable revenue.                                                                                                      
          -The POMV draw from the Earnings Reserve Account                                                                      
          now supports 70 percent of Alaska's undesignated                                                                      
          general fund budget.                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
     APFC's stewardship fulfills dual roles                                                                                     
          -Protecting the Principal of the Fund for the                                                                         
          benefit of current and future generations of                                                                          
          Alaskans.                                                                                                             
          -Providing a predictable revenue stream to help                                                                       
          balance the State's budget.                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Rodell stated that there was information about the APFC                                                                     
on its website.                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Stedman discussed the following day's agenda.                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
ADJOURNMENT                                                                                                                   
10:53:55 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
The meeting was adjourned at 10:53 a.m.                                                                                         

Document Name Date/Time Subjects
020421 SFIN APFC Presentation.pdf SFIN 2/4/2021 9:00:00 AM
APFC